AL-only League - Top 10 Pitchers (Tue 7/29/08)
In this post I’ll take a look at the Top 10 Pitchers (both year-to-date and for the rest of the season) in an AL-only format (i.e. - Pitching categories are Wins, Saves, Strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP). Each player receives a Sherpa Point score ranging from 0 to 1 in each of the 5 categories; thus, the maximum possible score is 5.00.
For the counting statistics the league leader is assigned a score of 1.00; all other Pitchers’ scores are calculated by taking the ratio of their score in a particular category to the league leader’s score. For example, if the league leader has 15 Wins, a Pitcher with 10 Wins would receive a score of .67, a Pitcher with 5 Wins would receive a score of .33, etc. For average-based categories (e.g. - ERA and WHIP) a proxy statistic is used. Pitchers’ Sherpa Points scores in each individual category are added to calculate the Total Sherpa Points.
Top 10 Pitchers Year-to-Date
- Cliff Lee - 3.71 (Remainder-of-Season forecast = 3.00 Sherpa Points, which ranks 3rd overall)
- Roy Halladay - 3.61 (3.85, 1st)
- Justin Duchscherer - 3.04 (2.80, 6th)
- Ervin Santana - 2.72 (2.09, 20th)
- James Shields - 2.58 (2.90, 4th)
- Joe Saunders - 2.55 (1.64, 35th)
- Mariano Rivera - 2.37 (2.80, 5th)
- Mike Mussina - 2.32 (2.05, 21st)
- Josh Beckett - 2.20 (2.78, 7th)
- Felix Hernandez - 2.16 (2.77, 8th)
- Scott Kazmir - 2.16 (2.67, 9th)
Top 10 Pitchers for Remainder of Season
- Roy Halladay - 3.85 (Year-to-Date score = 3.61 Sherpa Points, which ranks 2nd)
- John Lackey - 3.21 (1.97, 19th)
- Cliff Lee - 3.00 (3.71, 1st)
- James Shields - 2.90 (2.58, 5th)
- Mariano Rivera - 2.80 (2.37, 7th)
- Justin Duchscherer - 2.80 (3.04, 3rd)
- Josh Beckett - 2.78 (2.20, 9th)
- Felix Hernandez - 2.77 (2.16, Tied for 10th)
- Scott Kazmir - 2.67 (2.16, Tied for 10th)
- Daisuke Matsuzaka - 2.63 (1.94, 20th)
John Lackey’s year-to-date results are obviously hampered by the fact that he didn’t pitch his first regular season game until May 14th. Still, with three bad outings in his last four starts, he may be a buy-low candidate today. I would also consider Daisuke Matsuzaka a buy-low candidate at this point in the season. On the flip side, three Pitchers I would be looking to sell high on if I owned them: (1) Ervin Santana, (2) Joe Saunders, and (3) Mike Mussina.
In my next post I’ll take a look at the Top 10 Hitters in an NL-only format.
Until then,
The Sherpa
Tags: Cliff Lee, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Ervin Santana, Felix Hernandez, James Shields, Joe Saunders, John Lackey, Josh Beckett, Justin Duchscherer, Mariano Rivera, Mike Mussina, Roy Halladay, Scott Kazmir, Sherpa Point score, Sherpa Points, The Sherpa