The Fantasy Baseball Sherpa

Hi everyone,

Here are the forecasted Top 10 performers for the rest of the season for a Mixed League 5×5 format.  The leader in each category is given 1.00 Sherpa Points; all other players’ scores in that category are based on their results relative to the category leader’s (e.g. - if the forecast for the league-leader is 62 RBI, then a player with a forecast of 31 RBI would be given a score of 0.50 Sherpa Points).  The maximum Total Sherpa Points is equal to the number of categories (i.e. - 5.00).

1. Albert Pujols (StL, 1B) - 246 AB, 22 HR, 62 RBI, 5 SB, .333 AVG, 53 R, 3.80 Total Sherpa Points
2. Dan Haren (Ari, SP) - 97 IP, 5 W, 0 SV, 2.69 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 92 K, 3.48 Total Sherpa Points
3. Chase Utley (Phi, 2B) - 289 AB, 17 HR, 54 RBI, 8 SB, .311 AVG, 57 R, 3.46 Total Sherpa Points
4. Tim Lincecum (SF, SP) - 100 IP, 5 W, 0 SV, 2.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 117 K, 3.36 Total Sherpa Points
5. Hanley Ramirez (Fla, SS) - 273 AB, 14 HR, 47 RBI, 11 SB, .326 AVG, 49 R, 3.32 Total Sherpa Points
6. Matt Kemp (LAD, OF) - 304 AB, 10 HR, 46 RBI, 17 sB, .313 AVG, 49 R, 3.22 Total Sherpa Points
7. Carl Crawford (TB, OF) - 302 AB, 7 HR, 36 RBI, 30 SB, .301 AVG, 48 R, 3.19 Total Sherpa Points
8. Ryan Braun (Mil, OF) - 292 AB, 16 HR, 51 RBI, 8 SB, .301 AVG, 52 R, 3.17 Total Sherpa Points
9. Alex Rodriguez (NYY, 3B) - 256 AB, 20 HR, 60 RBI, 7 SB, .281 AVG, 51 R, 3.17 Total Sherpa Points
10. Roy Halladay (Tor, SP) - 144 IP, 9 W, 0 SV, 3.00 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 112 K, 3.10 Total Sherpa Points

If you’re interested in more details, here’s a description of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.  These are the only rankings in the industry that are updated daily throughout the season - our Remainder-of-Season rankings reflect injuries, minor league call-ups, and role changes (e.g.- new Closers)! If you’d like to see the top performers by position, change the scoring categories, or change the league type, here’s a demo of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.

Enjoy!

The Sherpa

FantasyBaseballSherpa.com

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

Hi everyone,

Here are the Top 10 performers through Week 14 for a Mixed League 5×5 format.  The leader in each category is given 1.00 Sherpa Points; all other players’ scores in that category are based on their results relative to the category leader’s (e.g. - if the league-leader has hit 32 HR, then a player with 24 HR would be given a score of 0.75 Sherpa Points).  The maximum Total Sherpa Points is equal to the number of categories (i.e. - 5.00).

1. Albert Pujols (StL, 1B) - 307 AB, 32 HR, 87 RBI, 10 SB, .332 AVG, 73 R, 3.83 Total Sherpa Points
2. Dan Haren (Ari, SP) - 130.0 IP, 9 W, 0 SV, 2.01 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 129 K, 3.69 Total Sherpa Points
3. Tim Lincecum (SF, SP) - 127.2 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 2.33 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 149 K, 3.31 Total Sherpa Points
4. Zack Greinke (KC, SP) - 127.1 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 2.12 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 129 K, 3.22 Total Sherpa Points
5. Carl Crawford (TB, OF) - 353 AB, 8 HR, 39 RBI, 44 SB, .309 AVG, 58 R, 2.94 Total Sherpa Points
6. Hanley Ramirez (Fla, SS) - 312 AB, 14 HR, 61 RBI, 13 SB, .349 AVG, 53 R, 2.94 Total Sherpa Points
7. Prince Fielder (Mil, 1B) - 308 AB, 22 HR, 78 RBI, 1 SB, .315 AVG, 58 R, 2.85 Total Sherpa Points
8. Chase Utley (Phi, 2B) - 307 AB, 20 HR, 61 RBI, 9 SB, .313 AVG, 62 R, 2.81 Total Sherpa Points
9. Felix Hernandez (Sea, SP) - 124.2 IP, 9 W, 0 SV, 2.53 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 121 K, 2.76 Total Sherpa Points
10. Justin Morneau (Min, 1B) - 334 AB, 21 HR, 70 RBI, 0 SB, .311 AVG, 59 R, 2.72 Total Sherpa Points

If you’re interested in more details, here’s a description of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.  These are the only rankings in the industry that are updated daily throughout the season - our Remainder-of-Season rankings reflect injuries, minor league call-ups, and role changes (e.g.- new Closers)! If you’d like to see the top performers by position, change the scoring categories, or change the league type, here’s a demo of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.

Enjoy!

The Sherpa

FantasyBaseballSherpa.com

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

Hi everyone,

Here are the forecasted Top 10 performers for the rest of the season for an AL-only 5×5 format.  The leader in each category is given 1.00 Sherpa Points; all other players’ scores in that category are based on their results relative to the category leader’s (e.g. - if the forecast for the league-leader is 60 RBI, then a player with a forecast of 40 RBI would be given a score of 0.67 Sherpa Points).  The maximum Total Sherpa Points is equal to the number of categories (i.e. - 5.00).

1. Roy Halladay (Tor, SP) - 100 IP, 7 W, 0 SV, 3.06 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 80 K, 3.77 Total Sherpa Points
2. CC Sabathia (NYY, SP) - 107 IP, 7 W, 0 SV, 3.53 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 89 K, 3.57 Total Sherpa Points
3. Alex Rodriguez (NYY, 3B) - 256 AB, 20 HR, 60 RBI, 7 SB, .281 AVG, 51 R, 3.34 Total Sherpa Points
4. Zack Greinke (KC, SP) - 94 IP, 5 W, 0 SV, 2.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 89 K, 3.29 Total Sherpa Points
5. Carl Crawford (TB, OF) - 302 AB, 7 HR, 36 RBI, 30 SB, .301 AVG, 47 R, 2.99 Total Sherpa Points
6. Miguel Cabrera (Det, 1B) - 283 AB, 16 HR, 51 RBI, 1 SB, .314 AVG, 45 R, 3.10 Total Sherpa Points
7. Bobby Abreu (LAA, OF) - 279 AB, 7 HR, 51 RBI, 15 SB, .301 AVG, 47 R, 2.99 Total Sherpa Points
8. Justin Morneau (Min, 1B) - 269 AB, 15 HR, 56 RBI, 0 SB, .305 AVG, 45 R, 2.96 Total Sherpa Points
9. Ichiro Suzuki (Sea, OF) - 305 AB, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 17 SB, .344 AVG, 43 R, 2.93 Total Sherpa Points
10. Nelson Cruz (Tex, OF) - 257 AB, 17 HR, 48 RBI, 10 SB, .276 AVG, 44 R, 2.90 Total Sherpa Points
11. Derek Jeter (NYY, SS) - 311 AB, 7 HR, 35 RBI, 12 SB, .315 AVG, 50 R, 2.90 Total Sherpa Points

If you’re interested in more details, here’s a description of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.  These are the only rankings in the industry that are updated daily throughout the season - our Remainder-of-Season rankings reflect injuries, minor league call-ups, and role changes (e.g.- new Closers)! If you’d like to see the top performers by position, change the scoring categories, or change the league type, here’s a demo of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.

Enjoy!

The Sherpa

FantasyBaseballSherpa.com

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

Hi everyone,

Here are the Top 10 performers through Week 14 for an AL-only 5×5 format.  The leader in each category is given 1.00 Sherpa Points; all other players’ scores in that category are based on their results relative to the category leader’s (e.g. - if the league-leader has hit 24 HR, then a player with 8 HR would be given a score of 0.33 Sherpa Points).  The maximum Total Sherpa Points is equal to the number of categories (i.e. - 5.00).

1. Zack Greinke (KC, SP) - 127.1 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 2.12 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 129 K, 3.77 Total Sherpa Points
2. Felix Hernandez (Sea, SP) - 124.2, 9 W, 0 SV, 2.53 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 121 K, 3.21 Total Sherpa Points
3. Roy Halladay (Tor, SP) - 123.0 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 2.85 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 106 K, 3.18 Total Sherpa Points
4. Justin Morneau (Min, 1B) - 334 AB, 21 HR, 70 RBI, 0 SB, .311 AVG, 59 R, 3.16 Total Sherpa Points
5. Carl Crawford (TB, OF) - 353 AB, 8 HR, 39 RBI, 44 SB, .309 AVG, 58 R, 3.15 Total Sherpa Points
6. Edwin Jackson (Det, SP) - 121.2 IP, 7 W, 0 SV, 2.51 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 97 K, 3.09 Total Sherpa Points
7. Torii Hunter (LAA, OF) - 285 AB, 17 HR, 65 RBI, 13 SB, .305 AVG, 56 R, 3.05 Total Sherpa Points
8. Justin Verlander (Det, SP) - 122.1 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 3.38 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 149 K, 2.94 Total Sherpa Points
9. Josh Beckett (Bos, SP) - 121.0 IP, 11 W, 0 SV, 3.35 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 110 K, 2.92 Total Sherpa Points
10. Jered Weaver (LAA, SP) - 120.1 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 3.22 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 104 K, 2.92 Total Sherpa Points

If you’re interested in more details, here’s a description of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.  These are the only rankings in the industry that are updated daily throughout the season - our Remainder-of-Season rankings reflect injuries, minor league call-ups, and role changes (e.g.- new Closers)! If you’d like to see the top performers by position, change the scoring categories, or change the league type, here’s a demo of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.

Enjoy!

The Sherpa

FantasyBaseballSherpa.com

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

Hi everyone,

Here are the forecasted Top 10 performers for the rest of the season for an NL-only 5×5 format.  The leader in each category is given 1.00 Sherpa Points; all other players’ scores in that category are based on their results relative to the category leader’s (e.g. - if the forecast for the league-leader is 62 RBI, then a player with a forecast of 31 RBI would be given a score of 0.50 Sherpa Points).  The maximum Total Sherpa Points is equal to the number of categories (i.e. - 5.00).

1. Albert Pujols (StL, 1B) - 246 AB, 22 HR, 62 RBI, 5 SB, .333 AVG, 53 R, 4.15 Total Sherpa Points
2. Chase Utley (Phi, 2B) - 289 AB, 17 HR, 54 RBI, 8 SB, .311 AVG, 57 R, 3.80 Total Sherpa Points
3. Hanley Ramirez (Fla, SS) - 273 AB, 14 HR, 47 RBI, 11 SB, .326 AVG, 49 R, 3.74 Total Sherpa Points
4. Matt Kemp (LAD, OF) - 304 AB, 10 HR, 46 RBI, 17 SB, .313 AVG, 49 R, 3.66 Total Sherpa Points
5. Dan Haren (Ari, SP) - 97 IP, 5 W, 0 SV, 2.69 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 92 K, 3.48 Total Sherpa Points
6. Ryan Braun (Mil, OF) - 292 AB, 16 HR, 51 RBI, 8 SB, .301 AVG, 52 R, 3.47 Total Sherpa Points
7. David Wright (NYM, 3B) - 273 AB, 8 HR, 44 RBI, 14 SB, .319 AVG, 48 R, 3.40 Total Sherpa Points
8. Tim Lincecum (SF, SP) - 100 IP, 5 W, 0 SV, 2.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 117 K, 3.36 Total Sherpa Points
9. Prince Fielder (Mil, 1B) - 267 AB, 18 HR, 58 RBI, 1 SB, .296 AVG, 47 R, 3.14 Total Sherpa Points
10. Shane Victorino (Phi, OF) - 303 AB, 6 HR, 34 RBI, 15 SB, .300 AVG, 54 R, 3.08 Total Sherpa Points

If you’re interested in more details, here’s a description of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.  These are the only rankings in the industry that are updated daily throughout the season - our Remainder-of-Season rankings reflect injuries, minor league call-ups, and role changes (e.g.- new Closers)! If you’d like to see the top performers by position, change the scoring categories, or change the league type, here’s a demo of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.

Enjoy!

The Sherpa

FantasyBaseballSherpa.com

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

Hi everyone,

Here are the Top 10 performers through Week 14 for an NL-only 5×5 format.  The leader in each category is given 1.00 Sherpa Points; all other players’ scores in that category are based on their results relative to the category leader’s (e.g. - if the league-leader has hit 32 HR, then a player with 16 HR would be given a score of 0.50 Sherpa Points).  The maximum Total Sherpa Points is equal to the number of categories (i.e. - 5.00).

1. Albert Pujols (StL, 1B) - 307 AB, 32 HR, 87 RBI, 10 SB, .332 AVG, 73 R, 4.10 Total Sherpa Points
2. Dan Haren (Ari, SP) - 130.0 IP, 9 W, 0 SV, 2.01 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 129 K, 3.69 Total Sherpa Points
3. Tim Lincecum (SF, SP) - 127.2 IP, 10 W, 0 SV, 2.33 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 149 K, 3.30 Total Sherpa Points
4. Hanley Ramirez (Fla, SS) - 312 AB, 14 HR, 61 RBI, 13 SB, .349 AVG, 53 R, 3.28 Total Sherpa Points
5. Chase Utley (Phi, 2B) - 307 AB, 20 HR, 61 RBI, 9 SB, .313 AVG, 62 R, 3.03 Total Sherpa Points
6. Prince Fielder (Mil, 1B) - 308 AB, 22 HR, 78 RBI, 1 SB, .315 AVG, 58 R, 3.01 Total Sherpa Points
7. Matt Kemp (LAD, OF) - 325 AB, 11 HR, 50 RBI, 19 SB, .320 AVG, 48 R, 2.85 Total Sherpa Points
8. Ryan Braun (Mil, OF) - 332 AB, 16 HR, 58 RBI, 7 SB, .310 AVG, 61 R, 2.82 Total Sherpa Points
9. David Wright (NYM, 3B) - 327 AB, 5 HR, 44 RBI, 20 SB, .324 AVG, 56 R, 2.82 Total Sherpa Points
10. Raul Ibanez (Phi, OF) - 259 AB, 22 HR, 60 RBI, 4 SB, .309 AVG, 53 R, 2.69 Total Sherpa Points

If you’re interested in more details, here’s a description of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.  These are the only rankings in the industry that are updated daily throughout the season - our Remainder-of-Season rankings reflect injuries, minor league call-ups, and role changes (e.g.- new Closers)! If you’d like to see the top performers by position, change the scoring categories, or change the league type, here’s a demo of our In-season Updates to Player Projections & Rankings.

Enjoy!

The Sherpa

FantasyBaseballSherpa.com

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

This time of year many fantasy baseball team owners look to trades in an effort to improve their place in the standings.  Of course, everyone’s ideal is to trade away players who will perform worse over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date, while simultaneously trading for players who will perform better over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date.

How should you assess a player’s year-to-date value vs. his forecasted remainder-of season value?  Using Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s In-season Updates tool, an owner can quantify both of these values in an effort to identify players who are currently undervalued and overvalued.  Fantasy Baseball Sherpa assigns a score of 1.00 Sherpa Points to the league leader in each category.  All other players are assigned a score for that category based on their result relative to the league leader’s result.

For example, if the league leader has hit 26 HRs year-to-date, then a player who has hit 13 HRs year-to-date would be assigned a scoreof 0.50 Sherpa Points.  For ratio categories (e.g.- AVG, ERA) a proxy statistic is used.  A player’s scores in each category can be added up to determine the player’s Total Sherpa Points.  A player’s maximum score is equal to the number of categories used (note:  this maximum score will be different for Hitters and Pitchers if your league uses a different number of categories for Hitters and Pitchers).

Here are 10 National League Hitters who are good buy-low candidates for a league using the standard 5 Hitting categories (AVG, Home Runs, RBI, Stolen Bases, & Runs Scored) based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Alfonso Soriano, OF, ChC (2.79 Remainder-of-Season Total Sherpa Points - 1.50 Year-to-Date Total Sherpa Points = +1.29)
2. Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Col (1.33 - 0.20 = +1.13)
3. Jimmy Rollins, SS, Phi (2.18 - 1.06 =+1.12)
4. Geovany Soto, C, ChC (1.55 - 0.50 = +1.05)
5. Chris Coghlan, 3B/OF, Fla (1.81 - 0.77 = +1.04)
6. Lance Berkman, 1B, Hou (2.53 - 1.55 = +0.98)
7. Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pit (1.68 - 0.72 = +0.96)
8. Ryan Ludwick, OF, StL (2.17 - 1.22 = +0.95)
9. Brian Giles, OF, SD (1.04 - 0.10 = +0.94)
10. Everth Cabrera, SS, SD (1.05 - 0.15 = +0.90)

Here are 10 National League Hitters who are good sell-high candidates for a league using the standard 5 Hitting categories based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Orlando Hudson, 2B, LAD (1.41 - 2.18 = -0.77)
2. Raul Ibanez, OF, Phi (2.49 - 3.21 = -0.72)
3. Justin Upton, OF, Ari (2.00 - 2.65 = -0.65)
4. Todd Helton, 1B, Col (1.80 - 2.26 = -0.46)
5. Clint Barmes, 2B/SS, Col (1.50 - 1.90 = -0.40)
6. Pablo Sandoval, C/1B/3B, SF (1.67 - 2.03 = -0.36)
7. Gary Sheffield, OF, NYM (1.14 - 1.40 = -26)
8. Mark Reynolds, 1B/3B, Ari (2.38 - 2.62 = -0.24)
9. Nick Johnson, 1B, Was (1.59 - 1.82 = -0.23)
10. Michael Bourn, OF, Hou (1.86 - 2.08 = -0.22)

Of course, there are a number of reasons why a player’s performance over the remainder of the season may vary significantly from his performance year-to-date, including normal variation in results, injuries, changes in roles, etc.  By attempting to quantify both a player’s year-to-date and remainder-of-season results, we can take at least some of the guesswork out of identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

Until next time,

The Sherpa

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa

The Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s Blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

This time of year many fantasy baseball team owners look to trades in an effort to improve their place in the standings.  Of course, everyone’s ideal is to trade away players who will perform worse over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date, while simultaneously trading for players who will perform better over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date.

How should you assess a player’s year-to-date value vs. his forecasted remainder-of season value?  Using Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s In-season Updates tool, an owner can quantify both of these values in an effort to identify players who are currently undervalued and overvalued.  Fantasy Baseball Sherpa assigns a score of 1.00 Sherpa Points to the league leader in each category.  All other players are assigned a score for that category based on their result relative to the league leader’s result.

For example, if the league leader has hit 26 HRs year-to-date, then a player who has hit 13 HRs year-to-date would be assigned a scoreof 0.50 Sherpa Points.  For ratio categories (e.g.- AVG, ERA) a proxy statistic is used.  A player’s scores in each category can be added up to determine the player’s Total Sherpa Points.  A player’s maximum score is equal to the number of categories used (note:  this maximum score will be different for Hitters and Pitchers if your league uses a different number of categories for Hitters and Pitchers).

Here are 10 American League Hitters who are good buy-low candidates for a league using the standard 5 Hitting categories (AVG, Home Runs, RBI, Stolen Bases, & Runs Scored) based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Alex Rodriguez, 3B, NYY (3.07 Remainder-of-Season Total Sherpa Points - 0.85 Year-to-Date Total Sherpa Points = +2.22)
2. Vlad Guerrero, OF, LAA (2.15 - 0.57 = +1.58)
3. Marcus Thames, OF, Det (1.98 - 0.62 =+1.36)
4. Matt Wieters, C, Bal (1.51 - 0.16 = +1.35)
5. David Ortiz, DH, Bos (1.89 - 0.67 = +1.24)
6. Matt Holliday, OF, Oak (2.90 - 1.77 = +1.13)
7. Josh Anderson, OF, Det (1.82 - 0.73 = +1.09)
8. Gordon Beckham, 2B, CWS (1.21 - 0.13 = +1.08)
9. Chris Davis, 1B/3B, Tex (1.76 - 0.74 = +1.02)
10. Pat Burrell, OF, TB (1.38 - 0.42 = +0.96)

Here are 10 American League Hitters who are good sell-high candidates for a league using the standard 5 Hitting categories based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Marco Scutaro, SS, Tor (1.34 - 2.16 = -0.82)
2. Adam Kennedy, 2B, Oak (0.66 - 1.33 = -0.67)
3. Brandon Inge, C/3B, Det (1.52 - 2.18 = -0.66)
4. Aaron Hill, 2B, Tor (1.90 - 2.53 = -0.63)
5. Scott Rolen, 3B, Tor (1.25 - 1.84 = -0.59)
6. Victor Martinez, C/1B, Cle (2.27 - 2.81 = -0.54)
7. Jason Bartlett, SS, TB (2.07 - 2.52 = -0.52)
8. Ben Zobrist, 2B/SS, TB (1.92 - 2.35 = -0.43)
9. Adam Lind, OF, Tor (2.11 - 2.46 = -0.35)
10. Melky Cabrera, OF, NYY (1.11 - 1.42 = -0.31)

Of course, there are a number of reasons why a player’s performance over the remainder of the season may vary significantly from his performance year-to-date, including normal variation in results, injuries, changes in roles, etc.  By attempting to quantify both a player’s year-to-date and remainder-of-season results, we can take at least some of the guesswork out of identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

I’ll take a look at NL Hitters in my next post.

Until then,

The Sherpa

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa

The Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s Blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

This time of year many fantasy baseball team owners look to trades in an effort to improve their place in the standings.  Of course, everyone’s ideal is to trade away players who will perform worse over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date, while simultaneously trading for players who will perform better over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date.

How should you assess a player’s year-to-date value vs. his forecasted remainder-of season value?  Using Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s In-season Updates tool, an owner can quantify both of these values in an effort to identify players who are currently undervalued and overvalued.  Fantasy Baseball Sherpa assigns a score of 1.00 Sherpa Points to the league leader in each category.  All other players are assigned a score for that category based on their result relative to the league leader’s result.

For example, if the league leader has hit 26 HRs year-to-date, then a player who has hit 13 HRs year-to-date would be assigned a scoreof 0.50 Sherpa Points.  For ratio categories (e.g.- AVG, ERA) a proxy statistic is used.  A player’s scores in each category can be added up to determine the player’s Total Sherpa Points.  A player’s maximum score is equal to the number of categories used (note:  this maximum score will be different for Hitters and Pitchers if your league uses a different number of categories for Hitters and Pitchers).

Here are 10 National League Pitchers who are good buy-low candidates for a league using the standard 5 Pitching categories (Wins, Saves, Strikeouts, ERA, & WHIP) based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Rich Harden, SP, ChC (2.13 Remainder-of-Season Total Sherpa Points - 0.66 Year-to-Date Total Sherpa Points = +1.47)
2. Cole Hamels, SP, Phi (2.27 - 1.03 = +1.24)
3. Roy Oswalt, SP, Hou (1.93 - 0.78 =+1.15)
4. Johan Santana, SP, NYM (3.40 - 2.32 = +1.08)
5. Hiroki Kuroda, SP, LAD (1.48 - 0.46 = +1.02)
6. Jose Valverde, RP, Hou (1.52 - 0.56 = +0.96)
7. Ricky Nolasco, SP, Fla (0.52 - -0.26 = +0.78)
8. Carlos Zambrano, SP, ChC (1.99 - 1.24 = +0.75)
9. Tim Lincecum, SP, SF (3.27 - 2.56 = +0.71)
10. Ryan Dempster, SP, ChC (1.92 - 1.28 = +0.64)

Here are 10 National League Pitchers who are good sell-high candidates for a league using the standard 5 Pitching categories based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Zach Duke, SP, Pit (0.84 - 1.88 = -1.04)
2. Jason Marquis, SP, Col (0.75 - 1.55 = -0.80)
3. Jonathan Broxton, RP, LAD (1.91 - 2.61 = -0.70)
4. Livan Hernandez, SP, NYM (0.20 - 0.88 = -0.68)
5. Jeff Weaver, SP, LAD (0.01 - 0.60 = -0.59)
6. Johnny Cueto, SP, Cin (1.66 - 2.24 = -0.58)
7. Randy Wells, SP, ChC (0.43 - 1.00 = -0.57)
8. Chris Volstad, SP, Fla (0.51 - 1.02 = -0.51)
9. Brian Wilson, RP, SF (1.34 - 1.83 = -0.49)
10. Russ Ortiz, SP, Hou (0.06 - 0.55 = -0.49)

Of course, there are a number of reasons why a player’s performance over the remainder of the season may vary significantly from his performance year-to-date, including normal variation in results, injuries, changes in roles, etc.  By attempting to quantify both a player’s year-to-date and remainder-of-season results, we can take at least some of the guesswork out of identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

I’ll take a look at AL Hitters in my next post.

Until then,

The Sherpa

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa

The Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s Blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter

This time of year many fantasy baseball team owners look to trades in an effort to improve their place in the standings.  Of course, everyone’s ideal is to trade away players who will perform worse over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date, while simultaneously trading for players who will perform better over the remainder of the season than they have year-to-date.

How should you assess a player’s year-to-date value vs. his forecasted remainder-of season value?  Using Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s In-season Updates tool, an owner can quantify both of these values in an effort to identify players who are currently undervalued and overvalued.  Fantasy Baseball Sherpa assigns a score of 1.00 Sherpa Points to the league leader in each category.  All other players are assigned a score for that category based on their result relative to the league leader’s result.

For example, if the league leader has hit 26 HRs year-to-date, then a player who has hit 13 HRs year-to-date would be assigned a scoreof 0.50 Sherpa Points.  For ratio categories (e.g.- AVG, ERA) a proxy statistic is used.  A player’s scores in each category can be added up to determine the player’s Total Sherpa Points.  A player’s maximum score is equal to the number of categories used (note:  this maximum score will be different for Hitters and Pitchers if your league uses a different number of categories for Hitters and Pitchers).

Here are 10 American League Pitchers who are good buy-low candidates for a league using the standard 5 Pitching categories (Wins, Saves, Strikeouts, ERA, & WHIP) based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. John Lackey, SP, LAA (1.74 Remainder-of-Season Total Sherpa Points - 0.00 Year-to-Date Total Sherpa Points = +1.74)
2. CC Sabathia, SP, NYY (3.20 - 1.86 = +1.34)
3. Joakim Soria, RP, KC (2.08 - 0.83 =+1.25)
4. Ervin Santana, SP, LAA (0.70 - -0.42 = +1.12)
5. Scott Kazmir, SP, TB (0.45 - -0.45 = +0.90)
6. Rich Hill, SP, Bal (1.15 - 0.29 = +0.86)
7. Francisco Liriano, SP, Min (0.83 - 0.02 = +0.81)
8. Jonathan Papelbon, RP, Bos (2.31 - 1.51 = +0.80)
9. Mariano Rivera, RP, NYY (2.21 - 1.43 = +0.78)
10. Joba Chamberlain, SP, NYY (1.59 - 0.86 = +0.73)

Here are 10 American League Pitchers who are good sell-high candidates for a league using the standard 5 Pitching categories based on stats through games of Sun 6/21/09:

1. Edwin Jackson, SP, Det (1.21 - 2.50 = -1.29)
2. Kevin Millwood, SP, Tex (1.38 - 2.30 = -0.92)
3. Justin Verlander, SP, Det (2.00 - 2.58 = -0.58)
4. Scott Richmond, SP, Tor (0.80 - 1.36 = -0.56)
5. Jason Vargas, SP, Sea (0.32 - 0.88 = -0.56)
6. Drew Bailey, RP, Oak (1.35 - 1.90 = -0.55)
7. David Aardsma, RP, Sea (1.26 - 1.79 = -0.53)
8. J.P. Howell, RP, TB (0.79 - 1.30 = -0.51)
9. Scott Feldman, SP, Tex (0.61 - 1.12 = -0.51)
10. Josh Outman, SP, Oak (0.87 - 1.34 = -0.47)

Of course, there are a number of reasons why a player’s performance over the remainder of the season may vary significantly from his performance year-to-date, including normal variation in results, injuries, changes in roles, etc.  By attempting to quantify both a player’s year-to-date and remainder-of-season results, we can take at least some of the guesswork out of identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

I’ll take a look at NL Pitchers in my next post.

Until then,

The Sherpa

Fantasy Baseball Sherpa

The Fantasy Baseball Sherpa’s Blog

@fantasy_sherpa on Twitter